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\u3067\u306f\u3053\u306e\u89b3\u5bdf\u306e\u7406\u8ad6\u8ca0\u8377\u6027\u306b\u3088\u308b\u679a\u6319\u7684\u5e30\u7d0d\u6cd5\u306e\u554f\u984c\u306f\u3069\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u89e3\u6c7a\u3055\u308c\u308b\u306e\u304b\u3002\u8ad6\u7406\u5b9f\u8a3c\u4e3b\u7fa9\u8005\u30ab\u30fc\u30eb\u30fb\u30d8\u30f3\u30da\u30eb\u304a\u3088\u3073\u53cd\u8a3c\u4e3b\u7fa9\u3092\u63d0\u5531\u3057\u305f\u30ab\u30fc\u30eb\u30fb\u30dd\u30d1\u30fc\u306f\u3053\u306e\u554f\u984c\u306f\u4eee\u8aac\u6f14\u7e79\u6cd5\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u89e3\u6c7a\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3068\u8003\u3048\u305f\u3002\u79c1\u305f\u3061\u306f\u307e\u305a\u4eee\u8aac\u3092\u6301\u3063\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u305d\u306e\u4eee\u8aac\u304b\u3089\u5e30\u7d50\u3092\u6f14\u7e79\u3057\u3001\u305d\u306e\u6f14\u7e79\u7d50\u679c\uff08\u4e88\u6e2c\uff09\u304c\u89b3\u5bdf\u3068\u4e00\u81f4\u3057\u305f\u6642\u306b\u4eee\u8aac\u306f\u78ba\u8a3c\uff08\u30dd\u30d1\u30fc\u306fcorroboration\u3068\u3044\u3046\u8a00\u8449\u3092\u4f7f\u3063\u305f\u304c\u3001\u73fe\u5728\u3067\u306fconfirmation\u3067\u7d71\u4e00\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\uff09\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3002\u3086\u3048\u306b\u3001\u79c1\u305f\u3061\u306f\u307e\u305a\u300c\u5168\u3066\u306e\u30ab\u30e9\u30b9\u306f\u9ed2\u3044\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u4eee\u8aac\u3092\u6301\u3063\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u305d\u306e\u4eee\u8aac\u304b\u3089\u6f14\u7e79\u3055\u308c\u308b\u4e88\u6e2c\u306f\u300c\u6b21\u306b\u898b\u308b\u30ab\u30e9\u30b9\u3082\u9ed2\u3044\u300d\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u89b3\u5bdf\u306e\u7d50\u679c\u3001\u6b21\u306b\u898b\u305f\u30ab\u30e9\u30b9\u3082\u78ba\u304b\u306b\u9ed2\u3051\u308c\u3070\u3001\u300c\u5168\u3066\u306e\u30ab\u30e9\u30b9\u306f\u9ed2\u3044\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u4eee\u8aac\u306f\u78ba\u8a3c\u3055\u308c\u305f\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3053\u3053\u306b\u3082\u4e00\u3064\u306e\u554f\u984c\u304c\u5b58\u5728\u3059\u308b\u3002\u4eee\u8aac\u81ea\u4f53\u306f\u3069\u3053\u304b\u3089\u304f\u308b\u306e\u304b\u3001\u3068\u3044\u3046\u554f\u984c\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u5b9f\u306f\u3053\u306e\u4eee\u8aac\u6f14\u7e79\u6cd5\u3068\u3044\u3046\u8003\u3048\u65b9\u306e\u80cc\u666f\u306b\u306f\u8ad6\u7406\u5b9f\u8a3c\u4e3b\u7fa9\u8005\u30cf\u30f3\u30b9\u30fb\u30e9\u30a4\u30d8\u30f3\u30d0\u30c3\u30cf\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u63d0\u5531\u3055\u308c\u305f\u300c\u4eee\u8aac\u306e\u767a\u898b\u904e\u7a0b\u300d\u3068\u300c\u4eee\u8aac\u306e\u691c\u8a3c\u904e\u7a0b\u300d<\/a>\u3068\u3044\u3046\u533a\u5225\u304c\u5b58\u5728\u3059\u308b\u3002\u30d8\u30f3\u30da\u30eb\u3082\u53cd\u8a3c\u4e3b\u7fa9\u8005\u3067\u3042\u3063\u305f\u30dd\u30d1\u30fc\u3082\u3053\u306e\u533a\u5225\u3092\u8e0f\u8972\u3057\u305f\u3002\u30d8\u30f3\u30da\u30eb\u81ea\u8eab\u4eee\u8aac\u306e\u767a\u898b\u306f\u300c\u5e78\u798f\u306a\u5f53\u3066\u305a\u3063\u307d\u3046\uff08happy guesses\uff09\u300d\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3002\u305d\u3057\u3066\u30d5\u30a3\u30c3\u30b7\u30e3\u30fc\u81ea\u8eab\u3082\u305d\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u540d\u524d\u3067\u8aad\u3093\u3060\u304b\u3069\u3046\u304b\u306f\u5b9a\u304b\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u304c\u3001\u300c\u4eee\u8aac\u306e\u767a\u898b\u904e\u7a0b\u300d\u3068\u300c\u4eee\u8aac\u306e\u691c\u8a3c\u904e\u7a0b\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u533a\u5225\u3092\u60f3\u5b9a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3002\u30d5\u30a3\u30c3\u30b7\u30e3\u30fc\u306e\u8003\u3048\u3060\u3057\u305f\u5c24\u5ea6<\/a>\u306f\u4eee\u8aac\u3092\u60f3\u5b9a\u3057\u305f\u6642\u306e\u78ba\u7387\u3067\u3042\u308b\u304b\u3089\u3001\u5f53\u7136\u4eee\u8aac\u306f\u3059\u3067\u306b\u60f3\u5b9a\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3051\u308c\u3070\u306a\u3089\u306a\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u3057\u304b\u3057\u4eee\u8aac\u306e\u767a\u898b\u304c\u300c\u5e78\u798f\u306a\u5f53\u3066\u305a\u3063\u307d\u3046\u300d\u3067\u3042\u308b\u308f\u3051\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u5f53\u7136\u3053\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u8003\u3048\u65b9\u306f\u554f\u984c\u3068\u306a\u308b\u3002\u3053\u3053\u3067\u30a2\u30d6\u30c0\u30af\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u304c\u767b\u5834\u3059\u308b\u3002\u5f93\u6765\u306e\u7406\u8ad6\u5bb6\u305f\u3061\u304c\u898b\u9003\u3057\u3066\u304d\u305f\u4eee\u8aac\u306e\u767a\u898b\u3053\u305d\u304c\u30a2\u30d6\u30c0\u30af\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u30a2\u30d6\u30c0\u30af\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306f\u300c\u4eee\u8aac\u306e\u767a\u898b\u904e\u7a0b\u300d\u3068\u300c\u4eee\u8aac\u306e\u691c\u8a3c\u904e\u7a0b\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u533a\u5225\u3092\u660e\u78ba\u306b\u5426\u5b9a\u3059\u308b\u30021965\u5e74\u306b\u30d7\u30ea\u30f3\u30b9\u30c8\u30f3\u5927\u5b66\u306e\u54f2\u5b66\u8005\u30ae\u30eb\u30d0\u30fc\u30c8\u30fb\u30cf\u30fc\u30de\u30f3\u304c\u30a2\u30d6\u30c0\u30af\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u3092\u300c\u6700\u826f\u8aac\u660e\u3078\u306e\u63a8\u8ad6\uff08Inference to the Best Explanation, IBE\uff09\u300d\u3068\u540d\u4ed8\u3051\u305f\u3002\u30cf\u30fc\u30de\u30f3\u306fIBE\u3092\u660e\u78ba\u306b\u679a\u6319\u7684\u5e30\u7d0d\u6cd5\u3068\u5bfe\u6bd4\u3059\u308b\u3002IBE\u306f\u679a\u6319\u7684\u5e30\u7d0d\u6cd5\u3067\u306a\u3044\u5e30\u7d0d\u6cd5\u306a\u306e\u3060\u3002\u30e9\u30a4\u30d8\u30f3\u30d0\u30c3\u30cf\u304c\u300c\u4eee\u8aac\u306e\u767a\u898b\u904e\u7a0b\u300d\u3068\u300c\u4eee\u8aac\u306e\u691c\u8a3c\u904e\u7a0b\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u533a\u5225\u3092\u63d0\u5531\u3057\u305f\u80cc\u666f\u306b\u3042\u3063\u305f\u306e\u306f\u3001\u300c\u4eee\u8aac\u306e\u767a\u898b\u904e\u7a0b\u300d\u306f\u5fc3\u7406\u7684\u306a\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3042\u308a\u4e3b\u89b3\u7684\u3001\u975e\u5408\u7406\u7684\u306a\u3082\u306e\u3001\u300c\u4eee\u8aac\u306e\u691c\u8a3c\u904e\u7a0b\u300d\u306f\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u306a\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3042\u308a\u5ba2\u89b3\u7684\u3001\u5408\u7406\u7684\u306a\u3082\u306e\u3068\u3044\u3046\u8003\u3048\u65b9\u304c\u5b58\u5728\u3057\u305f\u3002\u3064\u307e\u308a\u305d\u3053\u306b\u306f\u5ba2\u89b3\u3068\u4e3b\u89b3\u3001\u4e8b\u5b9f\u3068\u4fa1\u5024\u3001\u300c\u3067\u3042\u308b\u300d\u3068\u300c\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3079\u304d\u300d\u306e\u533a\u5225\u304c\u5b58\u5728\u3059\u308b\u306e\u3060\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\u305d\u3057\u3066\u30a2\u30d6\u30c0\u30af\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306f\u30b8\u30a7\u30ed\u30fc\u30e0\u30fb\u30d6\u30eb\u30fc\u30ca\u30fc<\/a>\u3089\u306e\u8003\u3048\u308b\u7269\u8a9e\u3068\u3082\u547c\u5fdc\u3059\u308b\u3002\u7269\u8a9e\u3082\u7a76\u6975\u7684\u306b\u306f\u300c\u6700\u826f\u8aac\u660e\u3078\u306e\u63a8\u8ad6\u300d\u3078\u306e\u63a8\u8ad6\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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